BMW holds 2026 outlook despite Q1 profit slump, shares jump on margin beat

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BMW maintained its 2026 financial guidance on Wednesday and signalled it could weather U.S. tariffs and Chinese competition, sending shares up nearly 5% despite first-quarter pretax profit tumbling 25%.

The German premium carmaker beat key profit expectations for the quarter even as a narrowing core margin underscored the pressure on BMW at the start of the year.

This convinced investors it was well-positioned for a volatile global ​auto market, ⁠and shares rose 4.6% in early trading.

Core margin beats forecast

The company reported first-quarter pretax earnings ⁠at 2.3 billion euros ($2.70 billion), exceeding analyst forecast of 2.2 billion euros in a company-provided consensus.

Group revenue missed expectations, falling 8.1% to 31 billion euros.

The pressures also squeezed rivals Mercedes-Benz and Audi at the ​start to 2026, as Chinese automakers extended their lead in their home market — the world's largest — and pushed deeper into Europe, while U.S. tariff threats clouded the outlook further.

Despite the profit slide ​at BMW, analysts pointed to an above-forecast operating margin in the company's core ⁠automotive business.

BMW's EBIT margin in its core automotive business stood at 5.0% in the first quarter, down from ⁠6.9% a year earlier but ahead of analysts' forecast of 4.7%.

"BMW looks well-prepared to deal with continuing volatility," Jeffries analysts said in ‌a note to investors.

Cost cuts on course

Like many ​carmakers, BMW is turning to cost reductions to offset pressures from tariffs and high costs for raw materials in a globally weak automotive ⁠market.

Unlike Volkswagen and Mercedes, however, it has so far managed to do so without cutting jobs, focusing on factory efficiencies ‌and reduced investment, having rolled out the Neue Klasse platform to overhaul ​its product portfolio.

Tariffs, ‌including U.S. levies but also an EU tariff on EVs made in China affecting BMW's Mini brand, had a 1.25-percentage-point impact ‌on BMW's car margin in the first quarter.

The company maintained ⁠its ⁠full-year guidance, forecasting a moderate decline in its group result. BMW's core operating margin is seen in a range of 4% to 6% after 5.3% in 2025.

The outlook does not incorporate a potential increase in U.S. auto tariffs, which President Donald Trump threatened on Friday to raise to 25% from 15% currently. It also ​assumes the Middle East conflict "will not be enduring," the company said.

CEO Oliver Zipse downplayed Trump's announcement as merely a threat to ⁠push the ‌EU to act on its trade deal with Washington.

($1 = 0.8522 euros)

(Reporting ​by ‌Rachel More, Editing by Linda Pasquini and Bernadette Baum)

Copyright (2026) Thomson Reuters.

This article was written by Rachel More from Reuters and was legally licensed through the DiveMarketplace by Industry Dive.