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Associated British Foods (Q4 Update): weak performance

Associated British Foods expects Primark sales rise in the fourth quarter, but the Sugar outlook remains under pressure.
Associated British Foods ABF NEW - the front of a Primark store in Rotterdam.jpg

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Fourth-quarter sales at Primark are expected to rise 2%, driven by new store openings and franchise agreements. On a like-for-like basis, sales are set to decline by 3%, reflecting broadly flat trading in the UK and Ireland and a 4% decline in Continental Europe.

Grocery sales are expected to grow at a mid-single-digit rate in the fourth quarter, while Ingredients sales are expected to increase by around 10%. The Agriculture and Sugar businesses are expected to deliver further sales declines.

2026 adjusted operating profit guidance has been reiterated at below last year’s level of £1.7bn (£1.5bn expected). In 2027, profits are expected to improve across most divisions, except for Sugar, where adjusted operating losses are forecast to widen from £25-60mn to £70-170mn.

The shares were down 7.8% in early trading.

Our view

HL view to follow.

Associated British Foods key facts

All ratios are sourced from LSEG Datastream, based on previous day’s closing values. Please remember yields are variable and not a reliable indicator of future income. Keep in mind key figures shouldn’t be looked at on their own – it’s important to understand the big picture.

This article is original Hargreaves Lansdown content, published by Hargreaves Lansdown. It was correct as at the date of publication, and our views may have changed since then. Unless otherwise stated estimates, including prospective yields, are a consensus of analyst forecasts provided by LSEG. These estimates are not a reliable indicator of future performance. Yields are variable and not guaranteed. Investments rise and fall in value so investors could make a loss.

This article is not advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any investment. No view is given on the present or future value or price of any investment, and investors should form their own view on any proposed investment.

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Written by
Aarin Chiekrie
Aarin Chiekrie
Equity Analyst

Aarin is a member of the Equity Research team and a CFA Charterholder. Alongside our other analysts, he provides regular research and analysis on individual companies and wider sectors. Having a keen interest in global economics, he knows how macro-events can impact individual companies.

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Article history
Published: 10th September 2026