Share research

Ocado (HY Results): tough outlook

Compensation payments flatter first-half numbers, but Ocado’s underlying performance remains under pressure.
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Ocado’s first-half revenue rose 54% to £1.0bn, driven by one-off compensation payments from Kroger and Sobeys for the cancellation and early closure of their Ocado-run Customer Fulfilment Centres (CFCs).

Excluding these payments, first-half revenue rose 1% to £0.7bn and underlying cash profit (EBITDA) fell by 11% to £81mn. Weakness was driven by double-digit declines in Technology Solutions, offset only marginally by slim growth in its Logistics business.

Free cash flow improved from an £83mn outflow to a £75mn inflow, driven by the compensation payments. Net debt, including lease liabilities, fell by £0.1bn to £1.0bn.

Full-year guidance was reiterated, with Technology Solutions revenue expected to be around £0.5bn (2025: £0.6bn). Logistics revenue is expected to grow by a mid-single-digit percentage (2025: £0.8bn).

Several planned CFCs set to open in 2026-2028 have been delayed by 1-2 years.

The shares fell 15.3% in early trading.

Our view

HL view to follow.

Ocado key facts

All ratios are sourced from LSEG Datastream, based on previous day’s closing values. Please remember yields are variable and not a reliable indicator of future income. Keep in mind key figures shouldn’t be looked at on their own – it’s important to understand the big picture.

This article is original Hargreaves Lansdown content, published by Hargreaves Lansdown. It was correct as at the date of publication, and our views may have changed since then. Unless otherwise stated estimates, including prospective yields, are a consensus of analyst forecasts provided by LSEG. These estimates are not a reliable indicator of future performance. Yields are variable and not guaranteed. Investments rise and fall in value so investors could make a loss.

This article is not advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any investment. No view is given on the present or future value or price of any investment, and investors should form their own view on any proposed investment.

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Written by
Aarin Chiekrie
Aarin Chiekrie
Equity Analyst

Aarin is a member of the Equity Research team and a CFA Charterholder. Alongside our other analysts, he provides regular research and analysis on individual companies and wider sectors. Having a keen interest in global economics, he knows how macro-events can impact individual companies.

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Article history
Published: 16th July 2026