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Diageo (Q1 Trading Update): mixed start, guidance downgraded

Diageo’s beat on the top line wasn’t enough to stop full-year guidance being downgraded.
Diageo - first-half revenue and profits stumble

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Diageo reported first-quarter revenue of $4.9bn, reflecting flat organic sales growth (expected: 1.3% decline). Performance was driven by a 2.9% uplift in volumes, which offset an unfavourable shift in sales mix and weakness in China and North America.

The cost-cutting programme remains on track, expected to deliver savings of around $625mn over the next three years. Diageo still expects to deliver around $3bn of free cash flow this year.

Due to the weak start, some of its other full-year guidance has been lowered. Organic sales growth is now expected to be flat to slightly down (previously: flat), and organic operating profit growth is expected to be low to mid-single digits (previously: mid-single digits).

The shares fell 3.1% in early trading.

Our view

HL view to follow.

Diageo key facts

All ratios are sourced from LSEG Datastream, based on previous day’s closing values. Please remember yields are variable and not a reliable indicator of future income. Keep in mind key figures shouldn’t be looked at on their own – it’s important to understand the big picture.

This article is original Hargreaves Lansdown content, published by Hargreaves Lansdown. It was correct as at the date of publication, and our views may have changed since then. Unless otherwise stated estimates, including prospective yields, are a consensus of analyst forecasts provided by LSEG. These estimates are not a reliable indicator of future performance. Yields are variable and not guaranteed. Investments rise and fall in value so investors could make a loss.

This article is not advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any investment. No view is given on the present or future value or price of any investment, and investors should form their own view on any proposed investment.

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Written by
Aarin Chiekrie
Aarin Chiekrie
Equity Analyst

Aarin is a member of the Equity Research team and a CFA Charterholder. Alongside our other analysts, he provides regular research and analysis on individual companies and wider sectors. Having a keen interest in global economics, he knows how macro-events can impact individual companies.

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Article history
Published: 6th November 2025