Share Research

Associated British Foods: shares slide as Primark slowdown adds to group pressure

Associated British Foods expects fourth-quarter like-for-like revenue to fall 3% at Primark. Profitability in the Sugar division remains under pressure. Full-year underlying operating profits expected to land below last year’s level of £1.7bn (£1.5bn expected).
Associated British Foods ABF NEW - the front of a Primark store in Rotterdam

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Aarin Chiekrie, equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown:

“Associated British Foods’ (ABF) fourth-quarter results have left investors hungry for more as its crown jewel, Primark, is expected to deliver a like-for-like sales decline of 3%. Growth in the UK and Ireland was barely positive, while sales in Continental Europe fell by more than 4% as consumer confidence remains particularly weak. Primark also announced plans to introduce home delivery across Great Britain. While this will likely help boost the top line, running an efficient and profitable delivery and returns service is no easy task, and with Primark’s low price point, doing it profitably is even more difficult. In the meantime, new store openings are the key lever being pulled to drive the top line higher, contributing 5% growth and helping total Primark sales to rise by 2% over the period. Work on the planned demerger of Primark is progressing smoothly and is now expected to be completed in December 2027.

It was a mixed performance from the rest of ABF’s food businesses, with growth across Grocery and Ingredients largely offset by continued declines in the Sugar and Agriculture divisions. Performance in the Sugar division continues to be held back by lower yields following a period of unfavourably hot and dry weather, as well as weaker average selling prices in Europe. All in, ABF reiterated its rather vague full-year guidance for group-level underlying operating profits to fall below last year’s level of £1.7bn. But market forecasts are sitting around 13% lower at £1.5bn, which feels more realistic to us. Today’s update has done little to hint that a sharp improvement in fortunes is around the corner for ABF, and profitability in the Sugar division looks set to worsen still in 2027, offsetting progress in other parts of the business.”


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Published: 10th September 2026