Jefferies upgrades Halma, XP Power and Renishaw

(Sharecast News) - Jefferies upgraded Halma, XP Power and Renishaw on Friday as it took a look at diversified industrials.

Halma was lifted to 'hold' from 'underperform' and the target price increased to 3,650p from 3,050p. The bank said the shares have de-rated significantly since April, and at the current level the stock trades on a 49% premium to the wider UK Industrials sector, the lowest level since March 2018.

"The market has reacted negatively to the FY27F Avo Photonics revenue guidance, and this business now appears to be valued, rightly so, in our view, at a lower multiple than the rest of Halma," Jefferies said. "Now, with the rest of the portfolio businesses performing well, EBITA margins at the top end of guidance range and Halma using super-normal profits from Avo to be more aggressive on M&A, we see little reason to persist with our underperform recommendation."

The bank also upgraded XP Power, to 'buy' from hold' and lifted the price target to 2,330p from 1,870p. It said XP is the most exposed of its coverage companies to the semiconductor market, with 40% of 1H26 revenue coming from the semiconductor end market, mostly from customers Applied Materials and LAM Research.

"We expect XP Power to see significant earnings per share growth over the next three years as organic revenue growth and margins establish themselves back towards the group's medium-term objectives," it said. "After a troubled period extending over a number of years, XPP appears to be back into growth mode, there is upside risk to estimates and a Balance Sheet which is no longer problematic."

Jefferies upgraded its stance on Renishaw to 'buy' from 'hold' and hiked the price target to 6,090p from 3,450p.

It said semiconductor demand is driving mid-teens organic revenue growth, with most of it flowing through the group's highest-margin Position Measurement division.

"There is also strong demand growth from Aerospace and Defence end markets, which we believe can sustain attractive organic revenue growth into FY27F," it said. "With recent cost-cutting initiatives amplifying the operational leverage in the group, and 2H26F EBITA margins already at 21%, we see mid-20s EBITA margins as feasible for the first time since FY22."

Finally, Jefferies upped its price target on Oxford Instruments to 3,000p from 2,590p, keeping, keeping a 'hold' rating. It said market expectations on the group's Indium Phosphide business are high, and order intake has been impressive but its contribution to group revenue and EBITA is still relatively low, and the scale-up of manufacturing is not without challenges.

"The semiconductor cycle is also benefiting the core Imaging & Analysis division, but outside of this end market, there is very little growth, in our view, and, at a group level, EBITA margin progression has stumbled," Jefferies said.

At 1340 BST, Halma shares were up 1% at 3,622p, XP Power was 6.8% higher at 1,922p and Renishaw was 2.7% firmer at 5,115p.